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Up/Down Trends

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1.15678 -0.00 (-0.01%) 08/15/2026
EUR/USD (EURUSD)
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  • From the given dates, EURUSD highest price rally was observed on 2026-07-27 | 20 days ago
  • The price rally was UP for 4 consecutive days.
  • The price rally close price start with 1.13683 and end at 1.15306, giving a return of 1.43%.
  • The price of EURUSD was UP 37 times, and was DOWN 41 times.


  • Streak Statistics
  • EURUSD is currently DOWN for 1 consecutive day(s), a move of -0.01% (1.15692 → 1.15678).
  • Historically, after a 1-Day DOWN streak, EURUSD extended the move at least one more day 59% of the time (13 of 22 cases), and reversed 41% of the time.
  • Streak-Length Distribution & Average Return
    Streak Length (days)Up StreaksAvg Up ReturnDown StreaksAvg Down Return
    1130.18%10-0.18%
    280.38%10-0.41%
    301-0.44%
    421.00%2-0.76%
    5+00
    Total2323

    Longest Streaks on Record
    RecordDaysFromFirst PriceLast PriceReturn
    Longest UP streak4Jun 24, 20261.135861.142420.58%
    Longest DOWN streak4May 29, 20261.166211.15986-0.54%

    Momentum vs. Mean-Reversion
  • EURUSD behaves as: Mean-reverting — an up day is more likely to be followed by a down day — moves tend to reverse.
  • Unconditional up-day rate: 47.4%. After an up day: 37.8% chance of up. After a down day: 55.0% chance of up.
  • Today \ TomorrowUpDown
    Up37.8%62.2%
    Down55.0%45.0%
    Each row is row-normalized: given today's direction, where the next day went. Flat (no-change) days excluded.


    Seasonality

    By Day of Week
    WeekdayDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    Monday1338.5%-0.046%
    Tuesday1346.2%-0.028%
    Wednesday1346.2%-0.036%
    Thursday1361.5%0.061%
    Friday1353.8%-0.014%

    By Month of Year
    MonthDaysUp (%)Avg Daily Return
    January0
    February0
    March0
    April0
    May1250.0%0.016%
    June2642.3%-0.074%
    July2751.9%0.035%
    August1346.2%0.025%
    September0
    October0
    November0
    December0
    Daily returns bucketed by calendar weekday / month across the selected range. Cell shading scales with the average move.


    Price Chart with Up/Down Rally Indicators
    Showing rally days >=2 days



    Historical Up/Down Days and Returns

    Showing last 1 year of data. To view all data, Upgrade to PRO plan!

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